With each passing day, I am becoming further convinced that the United States is inching closer and closer to another civil war.
It just seems inevitable.
But this time around, I don’t think the lines of demarcation will be so neatly drawn or conveniently labeled.
In 1861, it was easy to identify “the enemy.” Geography was the name of the game. North versus South. We even had a rather convenient and mutually acceptable dividing point: the Mason-Dixon Line.

As you probably recall from your sixth-grade social studies class, the Mason Dixon Line ran between Pennsylvania and Maryland, separating the good guys from the bad guys. Defining who were the good guys was purely subjective, depending solely upon which side of the line you found yourself.
To this day — more than 150 years after the first Civil War started — many southerners still adamantly deny that it was about slavery.
While living in Nashville during the early 1990s, I had a good friend who vigorously tried to convince me (a Yankee) that the war was simply about state’s rights. That the south was simply trying to defend itself from “northern aggression.”
He was right, of course. The southern states wanted the “right” to own slaves. Everything else was (and remains) a smokescreen.
The practice of slavery was essential for the economic survival of the southern states that lagged behind the economic bustle and prosperity of their northern neighbors.
In short, it was about money. But isn’t it always?
While the north was humming along with mills and factories, the south was mainly dependent on an agriculture economy that required lots of manpower.
Today, however, the lines of dissension are much less clear and are muddled across a constantly shifting variety of social and political boundaries. Reproductive rights, gun rights, climate change, LGBTQ+ issues and so much more.
Sure, it’s easy and somewhat convenient to say it’s about Democrats versus Republicans, or about red states versus blue states, but I think it’s a lot more complex than that.
I don’t think it’s going to be that easy to spot the enemy in the next Civil War.
I think in this next civil war – and it is coming – it will be more of a neighbor versus neighbor thing.
A cold wind is blowing
We know that our country is divided. We know that there is an increasingly apparent undercurrent of rage brewing just beneath the surface of our political infrastructure.
We saw a hint of it on January 6, 2021.
But that was just a glimpse. The Democrats seized upon that event, pointing to all that was wrong with Republicans.
Many Republicans downplayed the incident and tried to shift blame onto people like Nancy Pelosi for “allowing it to happen.” They pointed to inner city riots that had happened only months earlier when mostly minority residents were enraged about examples of police brutality.
The Democrats miscalculated the incident. Many of them mistakenly thought that event would “seal the deal” and would be the long awaited and much anticipated death knell of Donald J. Trump’s political career.
The American people would be horrified, the Democrats reasoned. The people would be galvanized by what they witnessed on their flat-screen televisions and smart phones.
It would be sort of like Sept. 11, when most all Americans would rally behind truth, justice and the laws of our democracy. When we would stand united in the face of evil.
On Sept. 11, 2001, we knew – or at least thought we knew –who the enemy was. We swore vengeance.
But this time was different. The Democrats had miscalculated.
Trump and his supporters did not suffer any meaningful blowback from the Jan. 6 incident. In fact — court cases be damned – the Capitol riots only made Trump and his growing legion of supporters stronger.
Sure, a handful of Republicans condemned the incidents of Jan. 6; but they were almost immediately expunged by a political party that was tipping to an extreme and rather rabid position.
The GOP, it seemed, was ready to eat its young. Chaos descended over the Republican-controlled House of Representatives. The extremists were now in charge.
No one was even pretending to be civil.
Democrats, too, dropped the ball, using the Jan. 6 riots as little more than an endless rallying cry for political purposes, a four-year campaign ad to prevent the GOP from ever again occupying the White House.
Meanwhile – beyond the media frenzy, beyond the ensuing federal indictments and beyond all the talking heads and all the noise – some Americans started quietly making plans.
While living in the south, I once made the mistake of joking with one of my work colleagues who was busting my chops about being a Yankee. “Relax,” I told him. “The Civil War is over.”
“No, it ain’t,” he replied with a grin. “It’s just halftime.”
I remember a chill going down my spine when he said that.
He wasn’t joking.
Pawn Takes Queen
You can already see the ads on the internet and on late-night television. Survival kits and emergency meal rations. We laugh at these “preppers.” A bunch of delusional, paranoid conspiracy theorists.
We dismiss them and their concerns. Our arrogance only fuels their not-so-hidden rage about the “elitists.”
But when the shit hits the fan – and it will — what will be your first move?
Will you take sides or will you sit back and hope that other people – the government – can fix it? The good guys will win, right?
But riddle me this: What if the “government” splinters? More aptly, what if the military splinters?
What happens when you see the “troops” marching through your neighborhood and you’re the only one without a gun?
Or . . . what do you do if you’re the only one on your block with a gun? Are you willing to shoot your neighbor? Someone you know? Will you defend your home or surrender and just hope that things work out for the best?
How will you know the good guys from the bad guys? Who decides? Who will you believe? The news?
Who’s to say that our police department will not be fragmented, same for the fire department. The guys and gals who drive the snow plows and the trash trucks?
Speaking of trucks, what about all the cross-country truckers? The airport personnel? The hospital staff? The reporters and media outlets? Second-shift at Wendy’s?
What happens if all these groups are suddenly fractured?
I am not trying to scare you.
But if you’re not scared by now, then my silly blog post is sure as hell not going to motivate you to consider a rather dark reality.
Will the next civil war bring out the best in us or the worst in us?
Me? I’m not preparing for some kind of half-assed Armageddon. I’m not stocking up on guns, ammo, Hot Pockets or even toilet paper. Nope. I’m just gonna sit back and watch. I refuse to let fear control my life.
I will take each day as it comes – on its own terms.
But when the shit gets real — and it will – just remember, I told you so.
History is written by the winners.
Is it over, or was my former co-worker correct?
Is it only half-time?
It’s happened before. It will happen again. It just won’t be so easy to sort the good guys from the bad guys this time.
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